Ice Age Happening in 2030? Find Out Why!
- Erika Miranda
- Jul 14, 2015 06:00 AM EDT
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Scientists are now warning humanity and the rest of Earth's inhabitants about the possibility of an "Ice Age" occurring 15 years from now.
Predictions that the sun would go into deep slumber 15 years from now were revealed during the four-day National Astronomy Meeting held at the Venue Cmyru, Llandudno, North Wales.
According to The Guardian, solar researchers from the University of Northumbria led by Professor Valentina Zharkova were able to make a new model that had been "unprecedentedly accurate" in forecasting the sun's activities.
Nearly two centuries ago, scientists noticed how the Sun's activity varied in a period of between 10 and 12 years.
The researchers were able to pinpoint minute but significant changes in the Sun's fluctuations which many scientists believe are caused by "convecting" fluid deep within the Sun resulting to a dynamo.
With this in mind, Zharkova and her team of solar experts added another dynamo to the scenario and were able to complete the picture with unprecedented accuracy.
"We found magnetic wave components appearing in pairs, originating in two different layers in the Sun's interior. They both have a frequency of approximately 11 years, although this frequency is slightly different, and they are offset in time. Over the cycle, the waves fluctuate between the northern and southern hemispheres of the Sun," Zharkova explained.
The model, which had been mapping sunspots and the sun's "heartbeat" since 1976 to 2008, shows that the Sun's activities would decrease by 60 percent by 2030.
"Predictions from the model suggest that solar activity will fall by 60 percent during the 2030s to conditions last seen during the 'mini ice age' that began in 1645," the Royal Astronomic Society declared based on the solar scientists' findings.
According to the report, the team used a method called the 'principal component analysis' from California's Wilcox Solar Observatory to come up with the model.
"In cycle 26, the two waves exactly mirror each other - peaking at the same time but in opposite hemispheres of the Sun," Zharkova explained. "Their interaction will be disruptive, or they will nearly cancel each other. We predict that this will lead to the properties of a 'Maunder minimum'."
The 'Maunder minimum' refers to the period occurred between 1645 and 1715 when sunspots were rare. During this time, says Huffington Post, scientists were able to record about 50 sunspots, which is very low compared to the standard 40,000.
Noticeably, this was a period when North America and Europe experienced colder winters and were trapped under a blanket of thick snow and a brutally cold weather, now known as the "Little Ice Age."
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